Sports Bets
Buys soft favorites one to four hours before tip-off or first pitch, then rides established favorites two to three hours into the game.
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Prediction markets price tomorrow’s news today.
Most traders are still reading yesterday’s.
Runes trades Kalshi event contracts with the entry rules, exits, and risk limits you set — so every position follows a plan, not a headline.
Embark on your trading journey with Runes, the premier platform for new traders venturing into algorithmic automated trading. Seamlessly transition from manual trading to automated strategies and experience the power of advanced algorithms at your fingertips.
This is the live question that starts the workflow: Runes finds the active Mentions event with a matching Gemini signal report before generating the trade direction.
The scheduled job pulls a live Mentions event, runs the Gemini signal report, and stores the report that feeds the decision railroad.
Mentions market with a matching AI signal report.
Gemini prices direction from live market context.
The response carries the JSON the app can execute.
The market is underpricing the probability that Federal Reserve officials will reference rate cuts before the next FOMC meeting. Recent speeches have shifted toward labor-market softness and disinflation progress, creating a stronger setup for YES exposure on the core mention contract.
Runes evaluates the event question, recent public remarks, market pricing, liquidity, and contract rules. The AI report treats the question as an execution input, not a finished artifact: the report must resolve into a structured direction that the algorithm can validate and route.
Current evidence supports a measured YES bias on the primary contract, while related markets with weaker language or thin liquidity are held back for risk review.
| Choice | Market Ticker | Model View | Expected Outcome | Trade Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rate cuts | KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RATECUTS | High | YES | BUY YES |
| Recession | KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RECESSION | Low | NO | BUY NO |
| Inflation target | KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-INFLATION | Medium | YES | BUY YES |
The strongest edge is the gap between cautious market pricing and the Fed's recent language. Runes would prioritize the primary YES position only if liquidity and risk limits remain inside execution thresholds.
The report produces a clear directional bias, then hands the decision rail a contract-level payload for execution and monitoring.
{
"event_info": {
"event_ticker": "KXFEDMENTION-26JUN",
"event_title": "Will Fed officials mention rate cuts before the next FOMC meeting?",
"event_choice_type": "independent_multi_outcome_choice",
"event_outcome": "Fed communications have become more receptive to eventual easing language.",
"confidence_score": 86,
"trade_summary": "Buy YES on rate-cut language, buy NO on recession language, and keep inflation-target language on watch.",
"justification": "Recent Fed remarks emphasize cooling labor data and improving inflation trends, making rate-cut language more likely than market pricing implies."
},
"market_breakdown": {
"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RATECUTS": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RECESSION": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-INFLATION": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-JOBS": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PAUSE": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-DOT": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
}
}
}
The JSON is the bridge between the LLM and the algorithmic app: each ticker gets a deterministic direction, then the execution engine can route YES or NO trades without rereading the report.
Buy YES on rate-cut language, buy NO on recession language, and keep inflation-target language on watch.
The report is only the first layer. Runes converts LLM analysis into deterministic instructions the algorithm can price, validate, execute, and monitor.
Gemini reviews the live event, prices, liquidity, and evidence behind the contract.
Structured output maps each ticker to a YES or NO signal that your algorithm's rules then check. Signal analysis only, not a recommendation.
The algorithm enters only when direction, sizing, and risk rules align.
SYSTEM VITALS
TODAY
1 / 4
closed trades last session
WEEK
23 / 12
week-to-date record
MONTH
34 / 15
month-to-date record
Simulated / paper results, gross of fees. Hypothetical results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading. Full disclosures.
P/L Rate
net vs gross P&L, last 30 days
Avg Trade Length
average hold, last 30 days
Win Rate
closed trades green, last 30 days
Monthly Balance Change
balance change, month to date
Runes lets you move from a Kalshi event into its market children, inspect the odds and implied chances, then create the contracts you want to trade. You can build manually through the UI while Runes keeps the position, PnL, and market movement under active monitoring.
Start from a live event, review its child markets, and choose the exact contracts you want to create.
Use the UI to configure YES or NO exposure, sizing, targets, and contract-specific risk rules.
Visualize price, odds, implied probability, volume, and movement across each market child.
Track realized and unrealized PnL, define exits, and keep risk visible as each contract moves.
Compare contract behavior against event metadata, market state, and live pricing signals.
Runes keeps watching created contracts after entry, surfacing changes that matter for execution and risk.
Runes isn't just about executing trades; it's about fostering a mindful trading experience. Equip yourself with tools and resources to navigate the emotional challenges of trading, promoting resilience and clear-headed decision-making.
Capture your trading journey, learn from experiences, and refine your approach with Runes's integrated reflective journaling feature.
Personalize your trading strategies with detailed notes, ensuring clarity and adaptability in your decision-making process.
Stay focused and organized with timely reminders, helping you stay on top of important market events and trading tasks.
Start each trading day with a dose of inspiration and motivation from Runes's daily messages, fostering a positive mindset for success.
Maintain accountability and track your progress through regular check-ins, facilitating reflection and continuous improvement in your trading journey.
Protect your investment and manage risk effectively by setting automated shutdown limits to prevent further losses beyond your predefined threshold.
Buys soft favorites one to four hours before tip-off or first pitch, then rides established favorites two to three hours into the game.
Scans paired sports winner markets for lopsided pricing and takes the less-favored side when the imbalance looks overstretched and liquid enough to trade.
Trades same-day tennis round-of markets: heavy favorites before the match, and the underdog side when a favorite has not taken control mid-match.
Targets today's multi-outcome Total Runs markets, entering strikes whose price and momentum sit in a defined sweet spot.
Trades independent multi-choice mention markets tied to Trump appearances, filtered for relevance and liquidity.
Builds baskets of likely YES phrases and high-conviction NO fades around a scheduled speech or interview.
Combines FOMC rate-decision markets with daily and monthly 2Y, 5Y, 10Y and 30Y Treasury yield strike ladders.
Trades high-impact releases such as CPI, PCE inflation, initial jobless claims, AAA gas, EIA diesel and TSA passenger volumes.
Targets recurring monthly consumer releases including card spend, app downloads, foot traffic and point-of-sale growth.
Covers AI market-share, benchmark leaderboard and GPU hourly-pricing ladder markets (A100, H100, B200).
Trades short-cycle index and FX level markets that settle at checkpoints like 10am or 4pm, looking for same-day repricing.
Targets legislation, executive actions, confirmation hearings, government shutdowns and presidential approval milestones.
Algorithms configured with LLM entry conditions hand each event to an LLM, which returns a structured YES/NO signal for each market; your algorithm's rules decide whether to enter. Analysis only, not a recommendation.
Mentions events get a Gemini signal report every six hours using your own API key, ready before your algorithm's rules are checked.
Review individual contracts with ChatGPT and Gemini write-ups alongside entry price, velocity and final profit.
Every LLM generation, accepted entry and rejected entry is logged to its own activity feed so you can see why a trade did or did not happen.
Open events and markets are pulled from Kalshi for the series you follow several times a day, with expired events cleaned up automatically.
Add Kalshi series tickers in bulk and Runes keeps tracking their recurring events and markets for the algorithms to evaluate.
Orderbooks refresh every 30 minutes across tracked markets and every minute for markets you hold, with snapshots kept for history.
YES/NO prices are read as implied chances from the live orderbook, so favorites and underdogs are picked from current odds, not stale quotes.
Events are classified as single binary, paired, three-way, cascading ladder or independent multi-outcome, and trades are built to fit each shape.
Price candles are collected every 30 minutes for all events and every minute for events with open contracts, then archived nightly.
Contracts are checked every two minutes and sold once they reach their profit target percentage.
With take profit enabled, Runes waits until profit passes your dollar target and then exits only when it starts to pull back.
Optionally sell contracts that have held a minimum profit for a set number of minutes, so gains are banked before the event turns.
Positions on your Kalshi account with large unrealized gains are swept every minute while markets are open.
Schedule exits for a specific time or end of day, in bulk or per position, with support for partial quantities.
Liquidate a single contract or many at once from the portfolio, and cancel open orders in the same place.
Kalshi settlements are fetched hourly to close resolved contracts and record their final P&L.
An exit only closes a contract once Kalshi confirms the fill; partial or unfilled exits stay open and are re-checked.
Entry prices are synced to your Kalshi position's average price so profit percentages reflect what you actually paid.
Each algorithm has its own maximum spend per market, set in your contract configuration.
Spend per trade scales with each algorithm's win rate for the day, from 10% of the limit for cold algorithms up to 170% for hot ones.
New algorithm entries stop for the day once today's algorithmic P&L falls below your maximum loss.
Total order cost per day and total active position cost are checked before every new contract is created.
Limits on open contracts per user and per market ticker and algorithm keep exposure spread out.
Each exact market can hold only one contract, and markets are reserved before ordering so concurrent algorithms cannot double-buy.
Combine named conditions for probability zones, spreads, volume, open interest, velocity and time to expiry per algorithm.
Run an algorithm on the natural side, all YES, all NO or flipped; forced underdog sides are capped at 25% of normal spend.
Algorithms can inspect orderbook depth and executable quotes before submitting, skipping markets that cannot fill.
Markets that repeatedly fail to fill are put on cooldown, and events Kalshi marks unavailable are skipped.
Exits wait until the event is live and are paused when market data is stale or an entry price looks corrupt.
Entries, exits and failed orders are recorded as contract events and can be sent to your own Discord webhook.
Every contract Runes opens is recorded with its algorithm, market, side, entry price, quantity and outcome.
Order state is pulled from Kalshi every minute, and resting orders are flipped to active once they fill.
Key events such as entries, exits, partial fills and sync repairs are kept on each contract's timeline.
Browse activity by entries, exits, settlements, liquidations, failed creations, orphan positions and more.
Filter positions as winning, losing, stale, stalled or orphaned, with live profit for each.
Compare profits by algorithm and timeframe, and see each contract's highest profit against its final profit.
Track balance, buying power, intraday cashflow and daily revenue, and set profit goals.
Orders, contract details, orderbooks and candlesticks roll from daily tables into history, so past trades keep their market context.
Share your read on a game, a Fed decision or a mentions market, and how your YES/NO contracts on Kalshi settled.
Attach odds charts, orderbook screenshots or files to a post to show why you took a side.
Tag posts with hashtags like #NFL, #FOMC or #CPI and @mention traders, so takes on the same event stay together.
Write your pre-game or pre-release take ahead of time and schedule it to post before the event goes live.
Like and reply to posts, share them with your followers, or send one straight into a private conversation.
Ask how others set odds bands, bet direction, entry price caps and spend limits on the Runes algorithms.
Filter forums by unanswered questions, popular this week, your own questions, threads you have joined and favorites.
Message a trader one-to-one or start a group to compare picks before an event starts, with file attachments.
Follow event traders whose calls you want to track, see their activity, and get suggestions for who to follow.
Runes is an automated prediction market trading platform that allows users to create and execute trading strategies using AI, algorithms, and real-time data. It simplifies trading by automating buy and sell decisions based on predefined criteria.
Absolutely! Runes is designed for traders of all experience levels. We offer user-friendly features and resources to help beginners get started while providing advanced tools for seasoned traders.
Runes supports a wide range of trading strategies, including manual and automated ones. You can set strategies based on technical indicators, price movements, and more to suit your trading style.
Setting automated buy and sell schedules is easy on Runes. Define your parameters, such as profit targets and stop-loss levels, and let the platform handle the rest.
Yes, Runes offers robust risk management features. You can set stop-loss orders, define risk tolerances, and protect your investments while trading.
Runes uses Kalshi's APIs for executing buys and sells, ensuring seamless and reliable order execution on the prediction market.
Absolutely. Runes provides real-time alerts and notifications for strategy events and important market developments, keeping you informed at all times.
Runes offers detailed performance tracking, including statistics and insights. You can analyze profit and loss, strategy efficiency, and historical data to evaluate your strategies.
Yes, we prioritize data security. Runes employs industry-standard encryption and security measures to protect your data and account information.
To get started, sign up for an account on Runes's platform, explore the features, and begin creating and executing your trading strategies. We also offer resources and tutorials to help you on your trading journey.
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Investing in financial products involves taking risk. Your investments may increase or decrease in value, and losses may exceed the value of your original investment. Full Disclaimer
A $5.00/mo access subscription keeps your billing profile active, paired with a 0.5% monthly platform fee on your Kalshi account value. Performance fees (12%) apply only to net realized profit from algorithm contracts closed or settled that month, and only when it is positive.
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Your funds remain safe within Kalshi — a regulated U.S. prediction market exchange. We don't hold or reinvest your capital. You can deposit or withdraw at any time, with no restrictions or lockups.
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