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Turn event-market signals into high-conviction trading decisions with automated contracts, live risk controls, and AI-assisted market context built for prediction market traders.
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This is the live question that starts the workflow: Runes finds the active Mentions event with a matching Gemini buy insight before generating the trade direction.
The scheduled job pulls a live Mentions event, runs the Gemini buy insight, and stores the report that feeds the decision railroad.
Mentions market with a matching AI buy insight.
Gemini prices direction from live market context.
The response carries the JSON the app can execute.
As of Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 10:02 AM UTC.
Donald Trump has already used "Barack Hussein Obama", "Sleepy Joe", "Soleimani", and "Autopen" during the current market period. The optimal positioning is to buy YES on the lagging BARA and SLEE contracts, and buy NO on STUP.
The "What will Trump say this week?" event tracking period (KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17) runs from August 10, 2026 to August 17, 2026. Multiple targeted terms have already been used by Trump. On Monday morning, August 10, 2026, Trump wrote on Truth Social: "The Pardons that Sleepy Joe Biden gave to the Unselect Committee of Political Thugs, and many others, are hereby declared VOID... because of the fact that they were done by Autopen..." This triggered the YES criteria for both "Sleepy Joe" (SLEE) and "Autopen / Auto Pen" (AUTO) post-market open. Later that day, in his remarks regarding Iran, Trump noted: "And then, very importantly, I terminated Barack Hussein Obama's Iran nuclear deal." This confirms that "Barack Hussein Obama" (BARA) has occurred. Other terms such as "Soleimani" (mentioned on August 10) and "Transgender" (mentioned on August 11) have also officially resolved or are fully priced at 99¢. "Stupid Question" (STUP) has not yet occurred this week.
| Choice | Market Ticker | Model View | Expected Outcome | Trade Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soleimani | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-SOLE | High | Yes | NO TRADE |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-AUTO | High | Yes | NO TRADE |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-MARI | High | Yes | NO TRADE |
| Transgender | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-TRAN | High | Yes | NO TRADE |
| Fraud | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-FRAU | High | Yes | NO TRADE |
| Golf / Golfer / Golfing | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-GOLF | High | Yes | NO TRADE |
| Barack Hussein Obama | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-BARA | High | Yes | BUY YES |
| Kamala | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-KAMA | High | Yes | NO TRADE |
| Sleepy Joe | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-SLEE | High | Yes | BUY YES |
| Cuba / Cuban | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-CUBA | High | Yes | NO TRADE |
| Windmill | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-WIND | High | Yes | NO TRADE |
| Stupid Question | KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-STUP | Low | No | BUY NO |
The strongest payoff asymmetry rests in the lagging pricing of already-verified mentions. Although "Barack Hussein Obama" (BARA) and "Sleepy Joe" (SLEE) have already been used by Trump during the designated period, they remain priced at 85¢ and 81¢ respectively. Buying YES on both contracts provides a highly confident 14%-18% return. Meanwhile, "Stupid Question" (STUP) is highly unlikely to occur in the final days of this period, rendering BUY NO at 66¢ highly profitable.
This independent multi-outcome choice structure permits taking simultaneous positions across multiple separate markets. Capitalize on the lagging pricing by acquiring YES contracts on the guaranteed BARA and SLEE mentions, while building a secondary position by buying NO on STUP. This diversified setup minimizes downside risk while yielding a substantial return on pre-determined outcomes.
{
"event_info": {
"event_ticker": "KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17",
"event_title": "Will Trump say \"Zohran / Mamdani\" before Aug 17, 2026?",
"event_choice_type": "independent_multi_outcome_choice",
"event_outcome": "Trump has already spoken several targeted phrases, confirming Yes resolutions for multiple contracts.",
"confidence_score": 98,
"trade_summary": "Buy YES on BARA and SLEE; Buy NO on STUP; NO TRADE on already-resolved 99c markets.",
"justification": "Trump has already used Barack Hussein Obama and Sleepy Joe this week, which guarantees Yes resolutions. BARA and SLEE trade at deep discounts of 85c and 81c, making them high-edge trades."
},
"market_breakdown": {
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-SOLE": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-AUTO": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-MARI": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-TRAN": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-FRAU": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-GOLF": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-BARA": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-KAMA": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-SLEE": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-CUBA": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-WIND": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG17-STUP": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
}
}
}The JSON is the bridge between the LLM and the algorithmic app: each ticker gets a deterministic direction, then the execution engine can route YES or NO trades without rereading the report.
Buy YES on BARA and SLEE; Buy NO on STUP; NO TRADE on already-resolved 99c markets.
The report is only the first layer. Runes converts LLM analysis into deterministic instructions the algorithm can price, validate, execute, and monitor.
Gemini reviews the live event, prices, liquidity, and evidence behind the contract.
Structured output maps each ticker into a deterministic YES or NO instruction.
The algorithm enters only when direction, sizing, and risk rules align.
SYSTEM VITALS
TODAY
7 / 4
live session pulse
WEEK
967 / 202
rolling execution window
MONTH
2,595 / 493
deployed contract count
P/L Rate
win probability calibration
Avg Trade Length
short-duration contract flow
Win Rate
qualified setups closed green
Monthly Equity Change
capital efficiency vs prior month
Runes lets you move from a Kalshi event into its market children, inspect the odds and implied chances, then create the contracts you want to trade. You can build manually through the UI while Runes keeps the position, PnL, and market movement under active monitoring.
Start from a live event, review its child markets, and choose the exact contracts you want to create.
Use the UI to configure YES or NO exposure, sizing, targets, and contract-specific risk rules.
Visualize price, odds, implied probability, volume, and movement across each market child.
Track realized and unrealized PnL, define exits, and keep risk visible as each contract moves.
Compare contract behavior against event metadata, market state, and live pricing signals.
Runes keeps watching created contracts after entry, surfacing changes that matter for execution and risk.
Runes isn't just about executing trades; it's about fostering a mindful trading experience. Equip yourself with tools and resources to navigate the emotional challenges of trading, promoting resilience and clear-headed decision-making.
Capture your trading journey, learn from experiences, and refine your approach with Runes's integrated reflective journaling feature.
Personalize your trading strategies with detailed notes, ensuring clarity and adaptability in your decision-making process.
Stay focused and organized with timely reminders, helping you stay on top of important market events and trading tasks.
Start each trading day with a dose of inspiration and motivation from Runes's daily messages, fostering a positive mindset for success.
Maintain accountability and track your progress through regular check-ins, facilitating reflection and continuous improvement in your trading journey.
Protect your investment and manage risk effectively by setting automated shutdown limits to prevent further losses beyond your predefined threshold.
Access a wide range of automated trading algorithms, including Mean Reversion, Momentum, Breakout, and specialized Insider Trading strategies.
Our system executes trades with unparalleled precision and speed, capitalizing on market inefficiencies instantly.
Deploy new strategies rapidly with ease of configuration, adapting to market shifts with unprecedented agility.
Monitor and act upon public disclosures from U.S. senators, identifying high-conviction trades with a proven track record.
Fine-tune your trading approach by adjusting strategy parameters to adapt to changing market conditions and personal preferences.
Designed for horizontal scaling of application instances and efficient queue worker management to handle increasing trading volumes and data loads.
Utilizes Laravel Events and Redis-backed Queues for asynchronous processing of high-volume data, algorithmic executions, and notifications.
Leverages Laravel Echo with Websockets for low-latency market data streaming and instant updates, ensuring you're always informed.
Built on the Laravel Framework (PHP) for a robust, scalable, and maintainable backend, enabling rapid feature development and a clear, modular architecture.
Analyze and refine your trading strategies with AI-driven insights. Runes evaluates entry/exit points, performance metrics, and risk exposure.
Leverage real-time AI analysis to determine optimal buy and sell opportunities using market data, technical indicators, and sentiment analysis.
AI evaluates after-hours activity, macroeconomic conditions, and volatility trends to help traders decide whether to hold overnight or exit at market close.
AI detects high-probability breakouts before they occur by analyzing House Trading, volume trends, and momentum shifts.
Capitalize on overextended price movements with AI-driven pullback detection and mean reversion analysis.
Runes's AI dynamically adjusts MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and Stochastic Oscillator parameters for maximum accuracy.
AI analyzes SEC filings, Senate and House trading disclosures, and institutional movements, allowing traders to anticipate market shifts.
AI extracts insights from breaking news, earnings reports, and global events, ranking their market impact in real-time.
Runes analyzes earnings reports, macroeconomic events, and sector-specific developments, adjusting trading strategies in real-time.
Monitor profit/loss trends, risk-reward ratios, volatility exposure, and execution efficiency — AI helps quantify risk and refine trade sizing.
Runes detects underperforming strategies and applies AI-powered adjustments to redeem and optimize execution.
AI automates profit and loss management schedules, ensuring dynamic reallocation of capital based on evolving market conditions.
Automatically set stop-loss orders based on predefined conditions to limit potential losses in your trading strategies.
Implement trailing stop-loss functionality, automatically adjusting stop-loss levels as your strategy's profits increase.
Protect your profits with automated stop-order protection, triggering sell orders when specific profit targets are met.
Set automated take profit targets, allowing your strategies to capitalize on profit opportunities without manual intervention.
Enable set stop loss after buys configurations, automating profit-taking when specific conditions align with your strategy.
Automatically apply loss mitigation strategies to limit potential losses and safeguard your capital during market downturns.
Set automated take profit targets, allowing your strategies to capitalize on profit opportunities without manual intervention.
Implement automated redemption strategies to identify and redeem underperforming strategies, optimizing your portfolio.
Create and execute automated schedules for profit and loss management, streamlining the optimization of your trading strategies.
Identify and filter "in-play" Equities based on broad criteria and account-specific trading rules.
Retrieve personalized settings including maximum capital allocation and acceptable loss percentages per strategy.
Evaluate Equities against defined entry requirements, including technical indicators and AI-based logic.
Record all relevant parameters upon successful evaluation, initiating the new algorithmic strategy.
Adjust capital per strategy based on historical performance and overall market sentiment for optimized exposure.
Safeguard gains by automatically placing sell orders if profit retraces after reaching a predefined threshold.
Minimize losses by exiting positions below a specified loss threshold with a continued downward trend.
Monitor and sell losing strategies within a "redeemable range" to minimize overall capital loss.
Automatically sell positions when predefined profit or loss targets are met, ensuring disciplined exits.
Utilize advanced technical analysis (EMA, RSI, Pivot Point, MACD) for dynamic and timely loss exits.
Configure strategies to automatically sell at predetermined dates and times, supporting both full and partial quantities.
Receive instant alerts via Discord and other channels on strategy status, profit protection, loss reduction, and exits.
Automatically record every trade executed by Runes, ensuring a comprehensive and accurate history of all your transactions.
Access granular details for each trade, including symbols, average positions, fill prices, and execution times.
Monitor your equity and profits with crystal clarity, allowing you to understand your portfolio's performance at a glance.
Review market conditions at the exact moment of your trades, providing valuable context for learning and refinement.
Utilize advanced filters to analyze trade performance by date, strategy type, market conditions, and other key metrics.
Gain insights from automated trade data to identify successful patterns and areas for improvement.
Maintain comprehensive audit trails for all trading activities, ensuring regulatory compliance and transparency.
Export your trade history and performance data for external analysis or record-keeping purposes.
Runes is an automated prediction market trading platform that allows users to create and execute trading strategies using AI, algorithms, and real-time data. It simplifies trading by automating buy and sell decisions based on predefined criteria.
Absolutely! Runes is designed for traders of all experience levels. We offer user-friendly features and resources to help beginners get started while providing advanced tools for seasoned traders.
Runes supports a wide range of trading strategies, including manual and automated ones. You can set strategies based on technical indicators, price movements, and more to suit your trading style.
Setting automated buy and sell schedules is easy on Runes. Define your parameters, such as profit targets and stop-loss levels, and let the platform handle the rest.
Yes, Runes offers robust risk management features. You can set stop-loss orders, define risk tolerances, and protect your investments while trading.
Runes uses Kalshi's APIs for executing buys and sells, ensuring seamless and reliable order execution on the prediction market.
Absolutely. Runes provides real-time alerts and notifications for strategy events and important market developments, keeping you informed at all times.
Runes offers detailed performance tracking, including statistics and insights. You can analyze profit and loss, strategy efficiency, and historical data to evaluate your strategies.
Yes, we prioritize data security. Runes employs industry-standard encryption and security measures to protect your data and account information.
To get started, sign up for an account on Runes's platform, explore the features, and begin creating and executing your trading strategies. We also offer resources and tutorials to help you on your trading journey.
Production-grade algo engines running across equities, options, forex, crypto, and prediction markets. Each built end-to-end on a single trading stack.
Institutional-grade equity automation for momentum, liquidity, and disciplined execution.
Options intelligence on contract quality, IV alignment, and defined-risk entries.
Forex execution tuned for session shifts, spread behavior, and changing volatility regimes.
24/7 crypto automation with adaptive volatility handling and cross-venue intelligence.
Event-driven systems for Kalshi markets, centered on pricing shifts and time-sensitive execution.
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